Outstanding Contraction!: Commercial Paper Outstanding February 2013

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Closed For Business: A few commercial vacancies are about...

× Like us and you'll find top breaking news in your Facebook newsfeed. Sign up for our daily email newsletter and get top stories and breaking news delivered to your inbox. Tuesday, December 20, 2011, by Sally Kuchar

A few commercial vacancies are about to pop up in the Mission, Tenderloin and SoMa. Under pressure from the feds, several medical marijuana clubs have shut their doors. "It looks like the U.S. attorney has won this round," San Francisco attorney Brendan Hallinan said. "They've succeeded in shutting down the four dispensaries they targeted." The dispensaries received letters from the U.S. attorney two months ago stating that the feds will side-step the pot clubs and go after their landlords. Rather than fight evictions, the four clubs have opted to shut down. [ABC Local/photo via Shutterstock]

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Outstanding Contraction!: Commercial Paper Outstanding November 2011

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Legitimizing: "Commercial dog walkers provide a critical...

× Like us and you'll find top breaking news in your Facebook newsfeed. Sign up for our daily email newsletter and get top stories and breaking news delivered to your inbox. Tuesday, October 18, 2011, by Sally Kuchar

"Commercial dog walkers provide a critical service to the many San Franciscans with dogs," Supervisor Scott Wiener said in a statement. "This service must be carried out in a professional manner that respects city property and the other users of that property." At today's Board of Supervisors meeting, Supervisor Scott Wiener will introduce legislation that would regulate commercial dog walkers in San Francisco. At first we thought dog walkers would throw a fit, but then we read on the SF Appeal that several groups, including the SPCA and a dog walkers' group, helped draft the legislation. "For the many professional dog walkers who are well-trained, who know how to care for dogs, and who respect the city property they use, this legislation will legitimate them and will require dog walkers who lack training or skills to get training," said Angela Gardener, a San Francisco Professional Dogwalkers Association member. [SF Appeal/photo via telmo32]

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Commercial Real Estate - Brokers Who Dominate

In Brokers Who Dominate you will learn the strategies and tactics, marketing approaches, prospecting platforms, and support structures of some of the most successful commerical real estate brokers in North America

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Video Interlude: Watch an Old Ikea TV Commercial About a Naughty Nanny

× Like us and you'll find top breaking news in your Facebook newsfeed. Sign up for our daily email newsletter and get top stories and breaking news delivered to your inbox. Friday, October 7, 2011, by Sarah Firshein

Ikea and awkward (at times) questionable commercials are like a MALM and an S-wrench, breakfast and furniture stores, men and MANLAND; in other words, two peas in a pod. Thanks to the folks at Apartment Therapy, some of the furniture brand's best TV spots have been ressurected from the coffin of YouTube for modern-day viewing pleasure. Our favorite, posted to YouTube in 2006 and in a decidedly non-English language, involves a naughty nanny wearing a bunny costume and her paramour wearing a thong. Have a look after the jump.

The video:

· Ikea tv commercial [YouTube via Apartment Therapy]
· Here's an Absurd Ikea Commercial That Never Made it On-Air [Curbed National]
· "Breakfast at Furniture Stores is All the Rage" in Germany [Curbed National]
· Ikea Tests Out "Manland," a Holding Pen for Bored Male Shoppers [Curbed National]

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An Office Innovator's Ohio Megamanse: Few would ever deem the commercial...

× Like us and you'll find top breaking news in your Facebook newsfeed. Sign up for our daily email newsletter and get top stories and breaking news delivered to your inbox. Wednesday, September 7, 2011, by Sally Kuchar

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Outstanding Contraction!: Commercial Paper Outstanding May 2011

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Commercial Real Estate Clouded by Delinquencies

Barely a few minutes after reading an article in the Wall Street Journal about banks finally opening the "spigot for commercial real-estate," the folks over at Trepp issued their monthly report on the delinquency rate for commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS); let's just say it isn't good.

After two months of very minimal rate increases, the number jumped in April, 23 basis points, to 9.65 percent, "the highest reading in the history of the CMBS market," according to Trepp.

To say the recovery is, as the report notes, "bumpy," is putting it mildly. The rate should be going down for two reasons:

First, as new CMBS deals, which are generally current loans, are added to the pool of all CMBS loans, the larger denominator in itself should push the rate down. Second, "special servicers have been resolving a greater number of troubled legacy CMBS loans than they were 18 months ago," according to Trepp. And yet the rate goes higher.

So now the balance of delinquent loans exceeds $62.8 billion, up from $61.5 billion in March.

Just a year ago, the delinquency rate was just 8.02 percent. Multi-family, industrial and retail delinquencies are leading the way up, despite the fact that apartment rents and demand are soaring and retail is supposedly recovering. The trouble is these properties just aren't worth what they were when the loans were made, and so they can't be refinanced, which happens with commercial loans far more often than with residential loans.

This is precisely the reason many in the industry don't see a healthy recovery in commercial real estate, even as some of the top urban markets are faring quite well.

"It's all about jobs," said Real Estate Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer in the latest quarterly "Sentiment Survey" of senior commercial real estate executives.

"Individual segments of the market may be recovering, but until private sector job creation picks up, we will not be out of the economic danger zone. The huge pipeline of maturing commercial mortgages and large fiscal issues facing state and local governments are additional 'headwinds' that could impact recovery in the broader economy and commercial real estate. The flatter trajectory we're seeing in the Q2 Sentiment Index is a reflection of these ongoing economic risks and uncertainty."

Questions?  Comments?  document.write("");document.write("RealtyCheck"+"@"+"cnbc.com");document.write('');And follow me on Twitter @Diana_Olick

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Commercial <b>real estate</b> experiencing rebound | SeacoastOnline.com

PORTSMOUTH — A new report on the New Hampshire commercial real estate market shows the Seacoast overall has fared better than other regions of the state and New England.

Released by CB Richard Ellis/New England, the 2011 New Hampshire Commercial Real Estate Market Outlook for office and industrial space found the overall office market vacancy rate for the Seacoast/Interstate 95 area dropped from 20.3 percent in 2009 to 18.3 percent in 2010 — which was the level at the end of 2008. The industrial market saw the vacancy rate increase from 9.7 percent in 2009 to 12.9 percent at the end of 2010, but the report said the region continues to hold its own when compared to other parts of the state, New England and the nation.

Kent White, a vice president with CBRE in Portsmouth, said demand for the office space market in particular shows the bottom of down cycle looks to have been passed.

"The Seacoast is doing much better than most other markets," White said. "Most companies have weathered the storm."

What White has seen for past nine months is a return of the "C" word — commitment from potential clients to make a commercial real estate deal.

"For a period from the fall of 2008 to the spring of 2010, there was virtually no demand," White said. "By summertime (2010) we saw an increase in activity. It's one of the largest investments a company can make and we are seeing more of them make a commitment and take advantage of opportunities for good values."

The CBRE report said that when it comes to office space, no Seacoast locations are more popular than downtown Portsmouth and Pease International Tradeport. Dan Plummer, a principal with Two International Group, said despite the severity of the recession, his real estate development company has kept busy with leasing deals at Pease.

"We're doing all right," Plummer said. "We have better than 90 percent occupancy, which is off some from three years ago, but in this market and economy, it's actually been a lot of activity. Pease is where people want to be."

Like White at CBRE, Plummer said not all the activity over the past few years led to signed deals.

"It was very hard to get deals done and closed, but starting in November, we started getting them done and signed," he said.

One recent lease involved 11,300 square feet of office and industrial space for the German-owned technology manufacturing company Kiefel.

The economic downturn put on hold major office developments by Two International Group. Before the recession, Two International Group had built some 850,000 square feet in rentable space, 16 buildings and developed some 70-plus acres within the tradeport. Plummer said the company has plans for potential developments but those remain in the planning stage only. The focus now, he said, is on expansions and tenant-requested upgrades of existing facilities.

At The Kane Co., Chief Executive Officer Michael Kane said business has picked up dramatically for the brokerage, development and property management company.

"We've had more activity in the last four to five months than we've seen in the past two years," Kane said. "It's been in Portsmouth mostly, but all over the region."

A few of the Kane deals include brokered sales of former auto dealerships on Lafayette Road in Portsmouth, signed retail and industrial space lease deals in Portsmouth and Seabrook, and brokered sales of industrial properties in Raymond, Rochester and Newburyport, Mass.

At CBRE, White said the increase in commercial activity over the past nine months has led to brokering a major sale for investors in downtown Portsmouth. Along with partner Margaret O'Brien, CBRE also brokered a large lease deal for more than 27,000 square feet of space in Newington for the national retail chain Savers and 30,000 square feet of Class A office space on Corporate Drive at Pease for the national headquarters of the investment consulting firm Prime Buchholz and Associates, which relocated from downtown Portsmouth.

Kane believes the rebounding of the commercial market corroborates with more evidence of an economic recovery. White at CBRE isn't quite as certain about the depth of the recovery. Some of the commercial real estate markets in the greater suburban areas such as Rochester and Somersworth have not recovered, he said.

"We are encouraged by a lot of positive signs here on the Seacoast pointing to a turn around," White said. "Yet, so much uncertainty still exists."

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Outstanding Contraction!: Commercial Paper Outstanding January 2011

The Commercial Paper (CP) market is essentially a private debt market used by corporations as a generally cheaper means of funding typical recurring operations than drawing on a line of bank credit.

Commercial paper, as financial instrument, is by no means a recent innovation and, in fact, you can read about how the CP market was affected by the many historic financial shocks experienced by the U.S. (read Panic on Wall Street: A History of America’s Financial Disasters)

Although the Federal Reserve was able to artificially bring CP rates down significantly since the shocking 615 basis point spread blowout (A2/P2 spread) of late 2008, they have apparently not been successful in preventing an overall contraction in the CP market.

The Federal Reserve calculates and published the total amount of CP outstanding every week and by mid-January commercial paper outstanding had fallen to a new series low (data tracked back as far as 2001) though in recent weeks the trend has moderated a bit dropping 11.27% on a year-over-year basis to $996.20 billion, a level that is still notably lower than even the worst periods of the last two recessions.

Labels: commercial paper, economy

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CRE-Advice.com Announces Commercial <b>Real Estate</b> Leadership Summit <b>...</b>

CRE-Advice.com Announces Commercial Real Estate Leadership Summit

CRE-Advice.com announces the commercial real estate industry’s first online video summit – a free event.

New York, NY (PRWEB) February 9, 2011

CRE-Advice.com, a leading online commercial real estate community announced today that it will host the commercial real estate industry’s first online video summit. This free online event features some of the industry’s most recognized thought leaders sharing their insights and observations about the current state of the commercial real estate markets.

Those registering for this free online event will be provided access to videos from industry thought leaders as they provide their commercial real estate market insights for the remainder of 2011. This is the first event of its kind to be held in the commercial real estate sector, and is just another reason why CRE-Advice.com is one of the commercial real estate industry’s leading online destinations.

Following is a representative overview of the more than one dozen confirmed speakers presenting videos:

1.    James Underhill, CEO, Cushman & Wakefield;

2.    Mark Rose, Chairman and CEO of Avison Young;

3.    Robert J. White, CEO of Real Capital Analytics;

4.    Jeff Finn, President and CEO of NAI Global;

5.    Suzann Silverman, Editor-in-Chief, Commercial Property Executive

6.    Robert Knakal, Chairman, Masey Knakal Realty Services

7.    Frank Simpson, President of CCIM Institute

8.    Robert Bach, Chief Economist, Grubb & Ellis;

9.    Kevin Maggiacomo, President and CEO of Sperry Van Ness

10.    Ron Goss, National President of the Institute of Real Estate Management.

11.    Jeffrey Rogers, President and COO of Integra Realty Resources

12.    Fred Schmidt, President and CEO of Coldwell Banker Commercial & ONCOR Int.

13.    Sam Chandran, Ph.D., Global Chief Economist, Real Capital Analytics, and;

14.    Rod Santomassimo, Founder and President of The Massimo Group, LLC.

To register, or for more information about the video summit please visit http://www.cre-advice.com.

About CRE-Advice.com

CRE-Advice.com is the commercial real estate industry’s leading destination community where members represent the industry’s most exclusive advisors and practitioners, and visitors will find answers to commercial real estate questions, unique expertise, specialists, as well as the news, and information necessary to thrive in today’s commercial real estate markets. More information can be found by visiting: http://www.cre-advice.com.

# # #

For the original version on PRWeb visit: http://www.prweb.com/releases/prwebcommercial-real-estate/events/prweb5053014.htm

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Commercial Real Estate Investors Turn More Gloomy

LoopNet.com, a Web site for commercial real estate listings, took a poll of 1,000 its members in the last two weeks of October. LoopNet members include real estate investors, brokers and owners. The results suggest that unlike those in the rebounding housing market, commercial real estate players are a little more gloomy.

When Will the Commercial Real Estate Market Recover?

In July a vast majority (66%) expected the volume of commercial real estate transactions to rebound in 2010. Now that number has decreased to just over 50%. Instead there has been a sharp increase (up 13% to 46%) in those expecting the recovery won’t occur until 2011 or later. Investors are more pessimistic, with a median expectation of recovery timing that is approximately one quarter later than that of brokers or commercial property owners.

Have Commercial Real Estate Prices Hit Bottom Yet?

More than half of all respondents expected to see future declines of 11% or more. All three groups surveyed expect values to drop further. Owners are the most optimistic, with nearly 20% saying prices have already bottomed.

When Will Commercial Real Estate Sales Prices Hit Bottom?

Expectations for when pricing will bottom mirror that of when transactions will recover: The second quarter of 2010 was the most common choice, but more than 10% said 2012.

What are the Biggest Barriers to Commercial Real Estate Market Recovery?

Lack of access to debt financing is the #1 barrier to market recovery, according to survey participants. High asking prices were the #2 reason cited by investors and brokers, while owners considered this less of an issue. Uncertainty about future cash flows remains a significant factor.

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner told the Economic Club of Chicago last week that commercial real estate would not be a drag on the nation’s banking system the way housing markets have been. “That’s a problem the economy can manage through even though it’s going to be still exceptionally difficult,” he said.

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Conn Commercial <b>Real Estate</b> Makes Modest Improvement | Connecticut <b>...</b>

The second quarterly survey on Connecticut real estate conditions conducted jointly by the Connecticut Business & Industry Association (CBIA), the Connecticut Economic Resource Center (CERC), and DataCore Partners LLC, reflects modest improvement within the State’s commercial real estate sector.

“U.S. economic recovery officially commenced in June 2009, but has yet to filter down in a large way here in Connecticut over the last year. In a word, improvement can be characterized as being “mild” as the State’s economy continues to feel the aftershocks of one of the worst economic downturns dating back to WWII,” stated Peter Gioia, Vice President and Economist at CBIA.

According to the fourth quarter CT COMpREhensive survey results, the Farmington Bank/ O’Connor Davies Munns & Dobbins LLP Commercial Real Estate Index recorded mild improvement, climbing to an index level of 11.8, up almost four index points from the previous quarterly reading of 8.3. The latest data reflects a market which is still facing challenges in the form of cautious consumer spending, slow job expansion, and possible shifts in buying patterns as consumers felt more comfortable with Internet purchases during the holiday shopping season. The Current Conditions Index component recorded at 9.8, up from 7.5 last quarter, while the Future Expectations Index component, measuring expectations for the commercial marketplace three months from now, rose from 9.1 last quarter to 13.7 in the October-December timeframe.

“Results from our second quarterly survey are encouraging. We’re clearly moving in the right direction given commercial real estate fundamentals, but progress thus far has been slow. Hopefully, we’ll build on these numbers as domestic economic recovery becomes more tangible,” said Don Klepper-Smith, Chief Economist and Director of Research at DataCore Partners.

Farmington Bank/ODMD Commercial Real Estate Index History:

- Current Conditions Index

7.5 (3Q10)/9.8 (4Q10)

- Future Expectations Index

9.3 (3Q10)/13.7 (4Q10)

- Total Commercial Real Estate Index

8.3 (3Q10)/11.8 (4Q10)

Other findings include:

• Respondents continued to be somewhat pessimistic about the outlook for the Connecticut economy over the next three months. Only 8% thought the State’s economy would be “excellent” or “good.”  Local economists have stated that the levels of consumer and business confidence, as well as job growth, will be instrumental in bolstering economic activity in the first half of 2011.

• Connecticut’s Office Market is now starting to benefit from modest new employment growth, but demand for labor remains sluggish as the overall pace of economic growth has been slow relative to prior economic recoveries.  Many area employers seem to be adopting a “wait and see” approach to permanent future hires. Only 7% polled characterized current conditions as “good” or “excellent,” while 52% stated that conditions were “fair.”

• Connecticut’s Industrial Real Estate Market is starting to benefit from increased demand for Connecticut exports, which rose abruptly in the second quarter.  Only 10% characterized current conditions as “good” or “excellent,” while 47% stated that conditions were “fair.”

• Connecticut’s Retail Real Estate Market is hopeful that this last holiday shopping season was better than last year as U.S. retailers are anticipating a gain of about 3%, but retailers face continued challenges in declines of consumer spending power and sluggish job growth.  Only 7% characterized current retail conditions as “good” or “excellent,” while 48% stated that conditions were “fair.”

• Connecticut’s Investment Real Estate environment appears to be improving based on prospects for new growth and cheaper capital, despite the sluggish economy.  About 16% characterized current investment real estate conditions as “good” or “excellent,” while 46% stated that conditions were “fair.”

• The fundamentals around Connecticut’s Residential Real Estate continue to improve as median sales prices are firming and sales volumes are posting double-digit gains relative to one year ago.  About 12% characterized current residential real estate conditions as “good” or “excellent,” while 53% stated that conditions were “fair.”

“The good news is that many local economists now believe that the Connecticut economy is poised to build on economic recovery heading into 2011 as the State has added 8,300 new jobs dating back to last December,” commented John Patrick, Chairman, President & CEO of Farmington Bank.

Alissa DeJonge, Director of Research at CERC, also noted, “The expectation is that gradual improvement in the State’s economy is likely to result in tangible job growth in coming months, leading to improved gains in incomes, greater levels of consumer spending, and healthier levels of export activity.”

“Barring an unforeseen exogenous shock within the domestic economy, the hope is that Connecticut commercial real estate conditions are apt to improve in coming quarters,” added Bruce Blasnik, Partner at ODMD.

The survey was conducted during the fall of 2010 and polled real estate professionals in all eight Connecticut counties, asking for opinions and perspective regarding local real estate conditions in both the residential and commercial markets. A total of 177 respondents participated in the fourth quarter 2010 survey, including real estate brokers, real estate developers, bankers, appraisers, and economic development officials from around the State.

The executive summary of this quarter’s CT COMpREhensive and Farmington Bank/ODMD Index is available at www.cerc.com and www.cbia.com.

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Commercial <b>Real Estate</b> Still A Strain: Fed Official

Commercial Real Estate Still A Strain: Fed Official HPFB.init();
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Commercial Real Estate Still A Strain: Fed Official

First Posted: 02/ 4/11 09:43 AM Updated: 02/ 4/11 09:43 AM

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Read More:Business News, Commercial Real Estate, Congressional Oversight Panel, Cre, Federal Reserve, Patrick Parkinson, Business Newsshare this storyPatrick Parkinson, the Federal Reserve's director of banking supervision and regulationGet Business AlertsSign UpSubmit this storydiggredditstumble

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -- A top government financial regulator said on Friday banks have taken only about half the hit they will experience from commercial real estate losses, and that while banks will remain under strain from commercial properties, no systemically important firms appear at risk.

"While we expect significant ongoing CRE-related problems, it appears that worst-case scenarios are becoming increasingly unlikely," Patrick Parkinson, the Federal Reserve's director of banking supervision and regulation, told Congress.

Parkinson is due to testify before the Congressional Oversight Panel that is reviewing efforts to stabilize the financial system after the financial crisis of 2008-2009. A copy of his testimony was obtained by Reuters.

Parkinson said that since the beginning of 2008 through the third quarter of 2010, commercial banks had incurred almost $80 billion of losses from commercial real estate exposures. Banks are estimated to have taken roughly 40 percent to 50 percent of losses they will incur over this business cycle, he said.

"Even if CRE delinquency metrics continue improving, there remains a sufficiently large overhang of distressed CRE at commercial banks such that loss rates for this portfolio will likely stay high for some time and many banks with CRE concentrations will remain under stress," he said.

Parkinson said that some systemically important financial firms had large exposures to commercial mortgage-backed securities and derivatives such as commercial real estate collateralized debt obligations. However, he said risks in those areas had been reduced and significant markdowns had already been applied to those securities.

Banks with high concentrations of commercial real estate loans tend to be those with between $1 billion and $10 billion in assets, of which one third had high concentrations of such loans, he said. Among banks with $10 billion or more, 10 percent had high concentrations of commercial real estate loans.

Story continues below blockquote .mid_article_ad_label{border:1px solid #dddddd;}Advertisement

"CRE concentrations are not a significant issue at the largest banks," he said.

However, Parkinson said losses due to commercial real estate, particularly residential construction and land development lending, were a chief reason for the high number of bank failures since 2008. Regulators expect further bank failures due to commercial real estate losses over the next few years, he said.

Regulators are encouraging loan restructuring to reduce losses, he added.

Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions.

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The Fed WASHINGTON (Reuters) -- A top government financial regulator said on Friday banks have taken only about half the hit they will experience from commercial real estate losses, and that while banks will... WASHINGTON (Reuters) -- A top government financial regulator said on Friday banks have taken only about half the hit they will experience from commercial real estate losses, and that while banks will... Related News On Huffington Post:  
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Post to Facebook.Post to Blogger.Post to Twitter.Post to WordPress.Post to TypePad.Post to Tumblr.Post to Yahoo! View All Recency  |  Popularity ta8ersalid   0 minute ago (2:53 PM) 84 Fans "CRE concentrat­ions are not a significan­t issue at the largest banks," he said.

If you believe the above, I have a bridge for sale, going cheap. ta8ersalid: "CRE concentrations are not a significant issue at the largest http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/ta8ersalid/commercial-real-estate-st_n_818605_76309327.html Permalink  | Share it HUFFPOST SUPER USER jwilson1   3 hours ago (12:18 PM) 58 Fans 1/2 of the losses...y­ou people are disgusting when you think of the millions of decent folks who lost their home through no fault other then the banks issuing CDO's. These banks have a big debt to pay instead of the trillion they lost the American people.

Your article sucks it should be about the fraud they did not the money it cost them how about the global melt down they caused! jwilson1: 1/2 of the losses...you people are disgusting when you think http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/jwilson1/commercial-real-estate-st_n_818605_76289331.html Permalink  | Share it     New comments on this entry — Click to refreshLoading comments… Follow Huffington Post Loading twitter module... Most Popular on HuffPostadYQBqpv2JPt0kS7hFlIdQijVx4eQxBhnJ2awIiJzVo6TEpYjTSy9eV5uEjrPD3tYotxxID4gBGfwPbMVr%2F%2FXw%3D%3DWv1Rs2sm35E8Zlyxm8BDMq4djlnFQECVjca0OPNpVycSJB6I1XBmKuc%2FwB3SQv2Jz9cXSfNc5tOT09CxLbQyIA%3D%3D1 of 2 Anderson Cooper Attacked By Pro-Mubarak Mob
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Like125 HOT ON TWITTER RT @markivey Very troubling- desperate unemployed workers who give up, 4.9 million "forgotten" ( http://huff.to/gzDEiM ) markivey Very troubling- desperate unemployed workers who give up, 4.9 million "forgotten" ( http://huff.to/gzDEiM ) RT @livestrongceo Co-wrote this new piece for @HuffingtonPost on World Cancer Day 2011 - http://huff.to/foC2xq livestrongceo Co-wrote this new piece for @HuffingtonPost on World Cancer Day 2011 - http://huff.to/foC2xq Enter Keyword(s): Enter a City: Select a State:  ? All United States ?  Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
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