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Saturday, August 27, 2011

[Jornal da Globo] Brazil: Sao Paulo up 85%, Rio up 100%. Bubble?

A primary news service in Brazil, Jornal da Globo, interviewed me on the housing market and I did a quick overview of the 2008 and laid out the US part of the story. If you blink you might miss me but its a balanced story and it seems to me like Brazil is in year 2006 of our cycle.


[click to see video]

The reporter told me that their economists and regulators say they are not in a bubble. However consumers have easy access to credit and there has been double digit multi-year housing growth far outpacing rental prices. That’s a housing bubble, no?

Incidentally, the day before this interview I was interviewed by a Chinese Television station with a similar story but less optimistic about the state of their market – saw it as a bubble.

Here’s a good Financial Times article on the Brazil housing market from last spring: Housing boom raises fears of Brazil bubble [subscription]

Entenda as causas do crescimento nos preços dos imóveis no Brasil [Jornal da Globo]

Understand the causes of growth in property prices in Brazil [English Translation]


View the original article here

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