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Showing posts with label Investment. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Investment. Show all posts

Saturday, May 5, 2012

The Question For Buyers; Will The Investment Pay Off?

A report from the Santa Fe New Mexican. “Santa Fe’s housing market has lost its fear. With buyers finally stepping up, the number of residential sales in the first quarter was the highest in five years. ‘I think the buyers are tired of waiting,’ said Stephanie Duran, an agent with Barker Real Estate. ‘My gut is they’re tired of being afraid. The threat of higher interest rates is greater than the fear of maybe declining prices.’”

“As home prices collapsed — down perhaps 30 percent from the top of the market in Santa Fe — many homes were pulled from the ‘For Sale’ listings, and refinanced or converted to rentals. Other owners simply cannot sell because their house is worth less than what is owed to the lender. These owners would have to write a check at closing to cover the difference between what they would net with a sale and what is owed on the mortgage. These factors have resulted in less inventory, which is down 30 percent from 2010.”

“‘The decrease in inventory has created more urgency,’ said Warren Sacks, VP of Barker Real Estate. ‘Buyers recognize if they don’t buy this property, it might not be there.’”

“Janice Diamond, a self-employed massage therapist, was one of those on the hunt for a house Wednesday. She’s been in Santa Fe for 25 years and is renting a place off Rodeo Road. She’s looking for more open space, fresh air and a home where her aging mother can live independently. Now she’s back with a mission of owning a home by the end of summer and has been looking with Barker agent Francine Miles. Her quest for a home with a ‘mother-in-law’ suite for about $300,000 would have been impossible a few years ago, Miles said.”

“The short sale Diamond looked at has been priced at $319,000, or $152 a square foot, for 260 days. ‘You get to the point where the banks don’t want to lower it anymore,’ Miles said. Diamond also looked at a bank-owned, 2,000-square-foot home on 1-plus acres. It was described by Miles as ‘a smokin’ deal,’ for $304,000. But many of the wood floor planks were missing, the vigas were aging, the home would need a new back deck and front portal, and there was no cooling.”

“The question for Diamond, as with all buyers, is whether the investment would pay off. ‘If it [the market] goes up, what would this be worth?’ she asked.”

From KVUE in Texas. “Cynthia Mattiza of Realty Austin says it’s a seller’s market right now. ‘I tell buyers, ‘If you like it, act on it now,’ said Mattiza. ‘A house goes on the market and literally within seven days, you probably have multiple offers.’”

“Ryan Rodenbeck of Spyglass Realty and Investments says homes within four miles of downtown and Central Austin are in high demand. He says homes move fast when the presentation and price are right. ‘The last seven houses we listed this year have gone full price or above,’ said Rodenbeck.”

The San Antonio Express in Texas. “Home building is on the way back. San Antonio-area home builders in the first quarter started 1,636 homes, a 10.4 percent increase over the same quarter last year. Lot supply continues to be an issue for the building industry. The San Antonio market has 18,636 vacant lots, a 31.8-month supply. But the 90 most-active neighborhoods have just a 17.6-month supply, a shortage.”

“And it’s harder to qualify for a mortgage now than in recent memory. Jack Shull, San Antonio branch manager of Guild Mortgage Co., said it’s possible — but it can be time-consuming — for first-time buyers to get mortgage loans. A few years ago, no-documentation loans, known by the industry as “liar’s loans” were prevalent and helped contribute to the housing crash. ‘We’re still able to get people qualified. It’s just much more tedious. We put them through so many more hoops and bells and whistles,’ Shull said. ‘It’s more time-consuming. But frankly, it should be. Today I think people understand that buying a home is a serious thing.’”

From KTEN in Texas. “In Grayson County, the real estate market is gleaming with possibilities. Tour a few neighbors in Grayson County and you will find the occasional for sale sign. ‘Our months of inventory have come down from about 13 to 11,’ says Mark Tooley, Virginia Cook Realtor.”

“With interest rates near 4 percent, folks are excited to purchase. ‘A lot of people think I can’t get a loan, but that’s not necessarily true. You have to be able to pay your mortgage and have good credit, but there’s a lot of money out there to be loaned,’ says Tooley.”

“And on the flip side, sellers, you can now make your investment back. ‘Today if you bought your home in the last four, five years, you can probably sell it for what you paid for it. If you bought it 20 years ago, you’re going to make a little extra on the side,’ says Ron Schildknecht, association executive, Greater Texoma Association of Realtors.”

Pegasus News in Texas. “The Huse family finally got tired of all the driving. Two years ago, they packed up and moved to the Mosaic Building in downtown Dallas. With any family living downtown, safety is also often an issue. Safety issues used to keep Heather Huse up at night, but now an automatic alarm system and a host of other safety perks let her sleep in peace. ‘There’s one door in and one door out, so if I lock it, that’s it,’ she said. ‘The building emergency system takes care of that for me, and worrying about break-ins is no more because I’m 18 floors up with a locked door.’”

“The Montgomery’s have resided on the 17th floor of the Gables Republic Tower for nearly three years. Shannon Montgomery and husband Ken Montgomery knew what an exciting experience living downtown would be for their two daughters, ages 7 and 10. ‘I started becoming more relaxed in situations where other parents would be very nervous,’ said Ken Montgomery. ‘With cars and trains flying by, I know what to expect with my kids because they spent time living around it.’”

“‘It’s important to be alert, stay together and aware of what’s going on around you,’ said Shannon Montgomery. ‘Our girls have learned that, and it makes them grow.’”

My San Antonio in Texas. “The posh but troubled Boot Ranch golf resort near Fredericksburg is on the market. Boot Ranch, a 2,051-acre master-planned golf community in Gillespie County, started selling luxury lots in 2005. But the upscale neighborhood has been slow to materialize. ‘It was a terrible time to try to get off the ground,’ said John Flournoy, managing broker of the Phyllis Browning Co. ‘They were about 18 months slower than they should have been. If they had opened earlier, they would have had a year or two of appreciation on the front end. They opened when the market started sliding.’”

“About 39 estate lots out of 110 have been sold, eight homes have been built and two homes are under construction, according to Land Advisors. Flournoy said the project is too far from Austin and San Antonio to attract buyers who are still working and has suffered from competing with the better-located Horseshoe Bay and Cordillera Ranch. But he thinks it will eventually succeed. ‘Boot Ranch will survive this,’ he said. ‘In 20 years, it will be successful.’”

From Tulsa World in Oklahoma. “In one Tulsa County neighborhood, landlord Harry Heuszel owns several rental properties. He paints over bare plywood nailed to windows and doors of abandoned homes owned by others. He even tries to match the paint so that it blends in with the existing trim color as part of an effort to keep up neighborhood appearances. ‘It’s hard to rent these houses when you got a ghost town over here,’ Heuszel said.”

“In Lake View Heights, most homes saw no change in value in the past year. But among those that did, the change was drastic. One home sold for $60,000 in 2006. After remaining unoccupied for five years, it sold again for $6,000. Another home in the same neighborhood, a 975-square-foot, 57-year-old frame structure, also sold for $56,000 in 2006. A local real estate investor purchased the home in 2010 for $7,000, records show.”

“Heuszel has been watching all of those home sales and others in the neighborhoods since the mid-1990s, many of which he says were overvalued. ‘These homes were never worth that,’ Heuszel said, ‘as far as I’m concerned.’ Heuszel, who owns about 10 rental homes in the neighborhoods, blames the banks. ‘The banks were greedy to loan money,’ Heuszel said. ‘The banks would loan $45,000, $52,000 and $57,000 on these things.’”

“Out-of-state investors purchased some homes, installing new windows, central heat and air conditioning, even granite counter tops. ‘And guess what? They couldn’t sell them for $45,000,’ Heuszel said. ‘So they went belly up.’”

“County Assessor Ken Yazel said his office takes into account abnormal sale prices. ‘If I have a neighborhood of, say, 200 homes and there’s been 25 sales - and a person came from California and paid too much - we don’t want that to raise the values of everybody else,’ Yazel said.”

“Peter Lewis, 69, is one of those who admits he didn’t research the area well enough when he purchased a couple of homes in the area with cash in 2008. Coming from his native England, Lewis said the $18,000 and $24,000 sale prices seemed like bargains when he bought the homes. He has renovated both homes, but now said he just hopes to recoup his investment. ‘If I get more money back, I’ll be lucky,’ Lewis said.”


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Monday, March 5, 2012

Why US Housing Indices Make Terrible Investment Benchmarks

Posted by Jonathan J. Miller -Tuesday, February 28, 2012, 3:00 PM
No Comments


[Source: PDF]

Analysts have had an easy time forecasting the future results of the Case Shiller Home Price Index with reasonable accuracy. This is because the 3-6 month lag from the actual “meeting of the minds” to reporting period results as well as the lower costs to acquire data to analyze.

If savvy analysts can accurately predict the index in the coming months, then how does this encourage investors to get on both sides of the trade. Call me crazy but if I knew what the index results would be in the coming months, that would mean that most market players would know and then it’s not possible to beat the market (sorry traders, but this is my weak attempt to talk like a trader).

The chart above is a forecast found in a recent housing study. It’s how I currently envision the US housing market given the millions of distressed property sales that need to go through the system.

The S&P/Case Shiller Home Price Price Index’s reason for being, as well as other competing indices were intended to be a benchmark for Wall Street to hedge housing using options (derivatives). This would have served a very logical and useful purpose to be sure but it has been a dismal failure. In one of the most volatile housing markets in history, trading volume has been anemic or non-existent, or at a fraction of the volumes needed to be an efficient market. Still, S&P/CS has become the consumer benchmark as the media grapples with how to characterize the market. The data problems and years of messaging bias over at NAR Research have enabled alternatives like S&P/Case Shiller and Corelogic.

The S&P/Case Shiller December report published today, (2 months after the close of the period, reflecting October-November-December closed sales, reflecting August-Spetember-October contracts) reflects a continuing malaise in US housing even though the 2011 housing market got a reprieve thanks to the robo-signing scandal at the end of 2010 and the anticipated settlement agreement between the major services and the 50 US state attorney generals.

Data through December 2011, released today by S&P Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller1 Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, showed that all three headline composites ended 2011 at new index lows. The national composite fell by 3.8% during the fourth quarter of 2011 and was down 4.0% versus the fourth quarter of 2010. Both the 10- and 20-City Composites fell by 1.1`% in December over November, and posted annual returns of -3.9% and -4.0% versus December 2010, respectively. These are worse than the -3.8% respective annual rates both reported for November. With these latest data, all three composites are at their lowest levels since the housing crisis began in mid-2006.

What’s interesting is how many don’t seem to understand what the index represents. Here’s a not uncommon interpretation via AP:

The declines partly reflect the typical slowdown that comes in the fall and winter.

No they don’t – the indices effectively washes out seasonality, both through the seasonal adjustments made to the index and the methodology itself. The non-seasonal adjusted results are virtually the same – and the methodology doesn’t reflect certain truisms like the surge that occurs in nearly every spring market since the dawn of time (or at least since cable tv was invented).

December 2011 S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices [Standard and Poors ]
Survey: Prices declined in 18 of 20 cities in final months of 2011 [AP/WaPo]


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Monday, April 18, 2011

Is A REIT The Right <b>Real Estate</b> Investment For You? - Invest <b>...</b>

Is A REIT The Right Real Estate Investment For You? - Invest Offshore News Invest Offshore News Offshore Banking & Investing Blog rss Subsribe in a Readerhome |blog |about |archives| contact | jurisdictions | privacy |site map Is A REIT The Right Real Estate Investment For You? By Invest Offshore on February 21, 2011 8:23 PM | No Comments | No TrackBacks

reit.JPGFor many years, investing in the stock market was anything but easy. As an investor, you had to carefully research which stocks to buy, decide how much weight to give to the advice of your broker, then monitor the ticker carefully to determine whether to hold, and when it was time to bail out.

But the advent of mutual funds provided a much more hassle-free path to stock market investing for individuals who liked the idea of turning over the decision-making to experts. By buying shares in a mutual fund, the individual investor placed his money in a pool, alongside the funds of many other shareowners, which was then used to purchase a large portfolio of securities chosen by market professionals. If the fund managers did their homework well, the value of shares in the fund would grow nicely; inevitable losses from some holdings in the portfolio were offset by broad gains elsewhere. And the mutual fund share owner had no day-to-day decisions to make, once he selected the fund that looked right for him. Finally, mutual fund shares were liquid - the individual investor could pull money out of the fund much more easily than a conventional securities owner.

Today, the REIT - Real Estate Investment Trust - brings the mutual fund idea to the field of real estate investing. REITS are perfect for Individuals who would like to position their investment dollars to take advantage of real estate's profit potential, but are wary of the complications of conventional investment choices like rehabs or new construction, or are too busy to acquire the skills needed to navigate the real estate mine field. Instead, they can now buy shares in a REIT and let a team of professionals navigate the mine field.

Almost all REITs fall into two categories. They are either Equity REITs or Mortgage REITs or a hybrid of the two. Equity REITS use their pooled funds to acquire income producing properties - residences, office buildings, shopping centers...etc.. Mortgage REITs invest in income producing paper, by providing mortgages directly to property owners or operators or by purchasing existing mortgages. In both cases, whether from rents or mortgage payments, a REIT must annually distribute as dividends to its shareholders at least 90% of its taxable income.

As with mutual funds, REIT shares are liquid; shares can be sold at almost any time. And, again like mutual funds, the investment is passive - the individual shareholder is only faced with one decision: which REIT to own. All other choices are left to the REIT administrators.

On the other hand, a REIT doesn't give an individual owner any choice in which properties or mortgages are purchased - once you invest in a REIT, you accept the decisions of others.

Related articlesA Few Things to Know About These High Yielders (fool.com)Calpers Dropping Stocks From Property Portfolio (online.wsj.com)Enhanced by Zemanta

A REIT can certainly be a good choice for an investor who's looking for a way to get involved in real estate while keeping the complexities to an absolute minimum. At the same time, you may also want to look into a land investment vehicle that's as hassle-free as a REIT, but offers some other features as well. That vehicle is LandBanking.

Unlike REITs, which are primarily income vehicles, LandBanking is aimed at medium to longer-term growth. The basic LandBanking concept is nothing new - acquire undeveloped real estate parcels that are located just outside burgeoning growth centers, hold the land until local expansion demands make it attractive to developers...then sell at a solid profit.

While you can be your own LandBanker, there are also LandBanking partnerships that make investing as hassle-free as REITs. But in this case, your "share" will be an interest in a carefully selected land parcel, chosen by LandBanking experts for its location and imminent appreciation potential.

If you don't agree with their analysis, you can just move on to the next opportunity. But if you agree, the process is simple and straightforward and once you've become a LandBanker, you can just sit back and watch your land appreciate with no hassles or headaches.

If you'd like to learn more about this LandBanking opportunity - and how it stacks up against REITs, as well as other real estate investment choices - you'll find more information by clicking on the following link:

www.landbanking101.us/2972

About the Author

Ty Hallsted is a software developer and real estate investor with a strong interest in marketing and all aspects of wealth creation and protection. He has been developing business software since 1976 and investing in various forms of real estate since the early 1980s. In 2006 he and his wife became LandBankers and also bought land in Costa Rica. They live in Maryland with three children and three grandchildren.

Related articlesThe 4-Letter Word That Should Worry REIT Investors (fool.com)These Stocks Are Neither Expensive Nor Cheap (fool.com)Commercial Property Pushes REITs Up (online.wsj.com)REITS: Fasten your seatbelts (theglobeandmail.com)Enhanced by Zemanta Categories: Tags: , , , , , , No TrackBacks

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Tuesday, April 5, 2011

[Trulia] 78% of Homeowners – Best Investment They Ever Made

Last week I was invited to co-anchor a press briefing for Trulia (I’m an original advisory board member) with Co-founder Pete Flint (one of the nicest, smartest people I’ve ever met). He covered the survey results and I provided an overview of the state of housing in the US.

I addressed the fear and self-loathing housing discussion largely brought about by the expiration of the federal home buyers tax credit last spring. Far from being an apologist on the state of housing (we clearly have more pain in front of us), its more about the unintentional misdirection caused by relying on housing metrics that lag the market by as much as 5 months.

Their Harris Interactive poll results:

What we found this time around is that despite the nightmarish housing market, 70% of Americans still view owning a home as part of their personal American Dream. Moreover, we’re seeing positive signals for recovery from Millennials (young adults aged 18-34) and in the South & West.

American Dream Survey Q1 2011 [Trulia]

Listen to the press conference [iTunes]


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Thursday, March 3, 2011

Commercial <b>Real Estate</b> Investment Podcast Video

Finding The Best Investment In Florida Commercial Real Estate
If you are considering Florida commercial real estate for your long-term investment, then you are on the right path. There are plenty of investment opportunities that are available in this commercial real estate market.
from …

September 2010 interview with Mr. Fasulo, Managing Director and head of research for Real Capital Analytics (www.RCAnalytics.com). In this interview Mr. Fasulo speaks about the current state of commercial real estate investment and offers a surprisingly bright yet cautious outlook on the months ahead. Mr. Fasulo is a noted source for information on the global real estate capital markets with credits in the Wall Street Journal, New York Times, Financial Times, Bloomberg, Reuters and Australian Financial Review among others. This podcast is sponsored by Steelhead Capital Integrated Investment Advisors. (www.SteelheadCapital.com)

How You Make Money In Real Estate
Whether you’re curious about the investment potential of real estate or simply sick of infomercials promising millions of dollars in returns from a new and obscure way of investing in real estate, it is worth learning how wealth is created through real estate.
from …

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Tuesday, March 1, 2011

(<b>Real Estate</b> Investment) Will <b>Real Estate</b> Go Up Or Down Clip



realestatetips.tk Real Estate Investment (Real Estate Investment) “Real Estate Investment” RealEstateInvestment Real-Estate-Investment Real_Estate_Investment Real,Estate,Investment http # Real Estate Investing – Investment Articles, Forums, Clubs Real Estate Investing Strategies, Tips and Techniques For Real Estate Investors. reiclub.com – Cached – Similar – Forums Beginners, Carlton Sheets Real Estate Articles Bird Dogs, Wholesaling Hard Money Lenders Free Books, Audios Real Estate Clubs Rehabbing, Landlording More results from reiclub.com » # Real Estate Investing Articles For Investors Hundreds of real estate investing articles for real estate investors. reiclub.com – Cached – Similar – # Creative Real Estate Online | Real Estate Investment Information This is THE place to find anything & everything you want to know about real estate investing. Tons of FREE real estate investment articles, forums, … www.real-estate-online.com – Cached – Similar – # News results for real estate investment AFPGE Capital Real Estate and Angelo, Gordon & Co. Pre-Qualified as …? – 54 minutes ago GE Capital Real Estate (www.gecapitalrealestate.com) is one of the world’s premier commercial real estate investment companies, with US billion in assets … Business Wire (press release) – 361 related articles » Bold Investors Venture Back Into REITs? – Wall Street Journal – 14 related articles » Vornado Said to Seek Billion for Distressed Real Estate? – Bloomberg – 67 related articles

Citizens Republic Bancorp Announces Fourth Quarter 2010 Results
Citizens Republic Bancorp, Inc. announced today a net loss from continuing operations of $ 106.2 million for the three months ended December 31, 2010, compared with net losses of $ 62.5 million for the third quarter of 2010 and $ 65.9 million for the fourth quarter of 2009. Â After incorporating the $ 5.5 million accrued but unpaid dividend to the preferred shareholder, Citizens reported a net loss …
from …

New York Real Estate Attorney – Located in the Empire State Building, the law offices of Aldad & Associates, PC is a full-service real estate law firm. The attorneys and staff at Aldad & Associates, PC – renowned for their expertise, integrity and commitment to excellence – represent years of successful real estate legal advisory in both commercial and residential settings

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Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Walker Stapleton Moonlighting At Former <b>Real Estate</b> Investment Firm

Walker Stapleton Moonlighting At Former Real Estate Investment Firm HPFB.init();
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Walker Stapleton Moonlighting At Former Real Estate Investment Firm

First Posted: 01/24/11 09:50 PM Updated: 01/24/11 09:50 PM

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Read More:Colorado Secretary Of State, Colorado Treasurer, Moonlighting, Scott Gessler, Walker Stapleton, Denver Newsshare this storyWalker StapletonGet Denver AlertsSign UpSubmit this storydiggredditstumble

It seems Colorado Secretary of State Scott Gessler isn't the only statewide elected official moonlighting for a private firm.

Last week, Gessler--a newly-sworn-in Republican--sparked a firestorm of criticism when he told the Denver Business Journal that planned to continue part-time work at his old law firm in order to pay the bills. Gessler's dual role as Secretary of State and part-time employee at an election law firm (Gessler says he won't try election cases) is being called a recipe for conflicts of interest by some.

Now, Sandra Fish reports for AOL's Politics Daily that Colorado's new State Treasurer, Walker Stapleton, also plans to moonlight at his old firm, a real estate investment company.

Fish reports that Stapleton could earn up to $150,000 as a consultant to SonomaWest Holdings Inc., in addition to the $68,500 he will earn as Treasurer.

Luis Toro of the ethics watchdog group Colorado Ethics Watch told Fish that his organization is examining state laws to determine whether to file a formal complaint against Gessler or Stapleton.

Meanwhile the liberal organization ProgressNow Colorado is attempting to pressure Gessler into dropping his plan to work with his old firm. Gessler has no such plans, telling the Denver Post he "doesn't care what ProgressNow thinks."

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It seems Colorado Secretary of State Scott Gessler isn't then only statewide elected official moonlighting for a private firm.Last week, Gessler--a newly-sworn-in Republican--sparked a firestorm of ...It seems Colorado Secretary of State Scott Gessler isn't then only statewide elected official moonlighting for a private firm.Last week, Gessler--a newly-sworn-in Republican--sparked a firestorm of ... Loading... TOP LINKS ON THIS TOPIC 1 of 5

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