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Showing posts with label Breaking. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Breaking. Show all posts

Friday, September 28, 2012

[Breaking News] CNN Gives Housing Followers Heart Attack, Case Shiller Up 1.2% YOY

Posted by Jonathan Miller - Tuesday, September 25, 2012, 12:01 PM


[click to open report]

I like this index chart from the report (2nd chart presented in their report) better than the more commonly used % based chart (1st chart presented in their report) because it provides better context. The recent trend is clearly a small see-saw but still sliding in general. I’m not a fan of the CS index for its 5-7 month lag but since it’s some sort of gold standard for housing, it’s important to point out that this clearly shows housing remains tepid at best.

But more importantly…

Shortly after the S&P/Case Shiller report was released this morning at 9:00am, I got the following CNN Breaking News email at 9:15am:

Home prices in 20 major U.S. cities rise to highest level in nine years, according to a new report.

I just about had a heart attack, wondering how I could be so far off in my assessment of the housing market. However I opened the report and the numbers didn’t show that kind of gain.

At 10:21am I received a followup email from CNN Breaking News:

Correction: Home prices rose in July to their 2003 level, but remain lower than the peak in 2006. CNN’s previous alert erroneously stated that home prices had risen to the highest level in nine years.

Not to single CNN out since this has happened at ABC, Breitbart and Fox.

Speed comes at a price: Accuracy.

Similar phenomenon in the appraisal business. The absurd speed demanded by retail banks and AMCs of their appraisers even after the “lessons learned” in this credit crunch, attracts the wrong kind of appraiser. Speed still trumps accuracy.

Home Prices Increase Again in July 2012 [S&P/Case Shiller]






View the original article here

Monday, January 9, 2012

Paying For The Privilege Of Breaking Even

NPR reports on Florida. “Florida is once again poised to play an important role in selecting the president in 2012. Its Republican primary on Jan. 31 is the nation’s fourth nominating contest. But Florida is a very different state than it was four years ago. It is reeling from the housing collapse and suffering from an unemployment rate well above the national average. Sean Snaith, an economist at the University of Central Florida, says unemployment affects the families of those who have lost their jobs, but the housing debacle goes much further. It has taken a personal financial toll on nearly every homeowner in the state.”

“‘The amount of wealth that was lost to the median family here in Florida is really staggering,’ he says. ‘If the median family of four in Florida were to save at twice the national savings rate, it would take something like 18 years to save back what they lost in home equity.’”

“The St. George’s Episcopal Church’s soup kitchen is open five days a week for lunch and dinner. But it’s not just those who come for meals who have been hit by Florida’s economic problems. Those serving the food have been affected as well. Many of them are retirees like Howard Evirs. Evirs says the housing bust wiped out half the value of his main nest egg — his home.”

“‘We had considered selling it just before the market broke,’ he says. ‘Then the value of the house went way down. So we made a decision — we’ll stay in there till we die.’”

The News Chief. “Sean Snaith, an economist at the University of Central Florida in Orlando that publishes quarterly and annual updates on local, state and national economies, compared 2011 to the ‘twinkling of a distant star’ rather than a bright sun. ‘This is, of course, better than a starless, black sky hanging over the economy, but we continue to wait for sunrise to arrive and warm Florida’s chilly economy,’ Snaith said in last month’s report. ‘Unfortunately, 2012 will not be the dawn of that day, as the year is shaping up to be another year of subpar growth.’”

“‘Florida’s housing construction sector hit the bottom of the Marianas Trench (the deepest spot on earth) in 2009 and has been wallowing in that trough for nearly two years,’ Snaith said. ‘Housing starts will climb to a slightly higher plateau in 2012 and begin to progress in 2013.’”

The Palm Beach Post. “Losses to South Florida home values are estimated to be $6.5 billion this year, an amount that, while daunting, is a considerable improvement from 2010. Last year, Palm Beach, Broward and Miami-Dade counties lost a combined $28.6 billion in housing values, according to Zillow.”

“While the thrashing to home worth has lessened, it’s not about to turn around completely, warned Stan Humphries, chief economist for Zillow. Some South Florida experts did agree on an extended market recovery time that will drift into 2013. ‘I thought that we were going to be in better shape in 2011 because we’d have more foreclosures moving through the system, but then we had the robo-signing scandal and it all got stalled,’ said Jack McCabe, chief executive of McCabe Research & Consulting in Deerfield Beach. ‘Now I think the rebound will be 2013 or even later, and that’s barring natural disasters or other debacles we can’t anticipate.’”

From CBS 12. “A new report out shows that out of the top ten cities in the nation where housing prices are actually increasing, six are here in Florida. ‘I’m very confident in saying that we’re at the bottom of an adjusted market and if you get in the market now and you’ve got a longer term prospective you’re going to make money,’ said Kevin Kent, Platinum Properties.”

“‘We’re coming back to full swing where Florida is going to again see a rise in property costs and I think you’ll see an influx of people,’ said Bonnie Lazar, 2012 Realtors Association of the Palm Beaches President.”

The News Press. “Local residents facing foreclosure will have no mediation program to take the place of a mandatory state program terminated by the state Supreme Court – at least for the near future. The mandatory mediation’s purpose was to provide ‘a really quick avenue to potential settlement with the bank so they don’t have to go to court,’ Charlie Green, Lee County clerk of court, said. ‘It was a great concept that ended poorly,’ Green said. Most of the time, homeowners didn’t show up and banks were not willing to participate, he said.”

“Jonathan Conant, president of the Conant Mediation Center, said he learned the local program was canceled in an email from the 20th Judicial Circuit. ‘The fear we have is most borrowers are unsophisticated. They are not going to know remedies, they are not going to know about robo-signing and other issues that come up in cases. They will not file answers. They will say ‘I haven’t paid my mortgage, it’s over.’”

“Meanwhile, foreclosures have increased from about 300 a month in spring to about 500 a month, and RealtyTrac, reports another wave of foreclosure filings is imminent in Florida. ‘This next year is gong to be horrific,’ Conant said.”

The Herald Tribune. “Nancy Cason, a real estate attorney with the Syprett Meshad firm, says she often faces people distraught over dwindling savings and increased expenses. ‘A lot come in and start crying before they can get a word out.’”

“Many bought, or refinanced, homes during the boom years from 2003 through 2007. Many were also in the real estate industry, working as mortgage brokers, real estate agents, construction executives, furniture sales people or other professionals dependant on real estate sales. Now, some of those same industry participants have lost their jobs and are unable to find anything else that pays even half as well. They have liquidated their savings and 401K retirement plans. Some have suffered medical problems, marital strife or divorce.”

“Here is what the numbers often look like: A couple bought a house at the height of the boom in 2005 for $250,000 and got a $250,000 mortgage, Cason explained. The house is now worth 40 percent less, or $150,000, and the couple is siphoning off their savings to make monthly interest payments. In a normal real estate market, they could expect the value of their home to increase by 5 percent, or $7,500, per year, Cason says.’

‘In today’s scenario, however, that means it would take 13.3 years for them to break even — if they could garner the appreciation at all. In the meantime, they would have to spend about $1,700 per month in interest, insurance and taxes. ‘That comes to more than $270,000 over 13.3 years that they would pay just for the privilege of breaking even,’ Cason says. ‘That’s just not in their family’s financial best interests.’”

The Florida Times Union. “The average foreclosure process takes 749 days in Florida. You can sing ‘99 Bottles of Beer on the Wall’ thousands of times while awaiting foreclosure eviction, but in the end, you will be homeless and very drunk. Two years is a long time without a house payment. You could sit back, relax, and spend all your money on beer…the problem is you come out the other side without a place to live and poor credit. If you are facing foreclosure, you need a plan, and you may need a legal defense to give that plan a chance.”

“You cannot have 99 bottles of beer on the wall if you do not have a wall to put the beer on. Foreclosure defense keeps the legal battle off the ramparts while the homeowner has the opportunity to pursue his or her plan.”

The Wilkes Journal Patriot. “Foreclosure filings in North Carolina dropped 33.6 percent in November alone to 2,710, compared with the same month a year ago, RealtyTrac Inc. reported. Assistant Clerk of Superior Court Julia Byrd said that compared to the last year, a significantly higher percentage of the properties foreclosed on in 2011 were fulltime residences and a smaller portion were vacant lots or part-time residences belonging mostly to people who live outside of Wilkes.”

“Mrs. Byrd said many of the vacant lots foreclosed on earlier were purchased by people with Florida addresses, apparently as investments. ‘For a while, it seemed like there were people who had bought property without ever looking at it’”


View the original article here

Friday, January 6, 2012

Breaking Ground: “For too long, people have felt...

× Like us and you'll find top breaking news in your Facebook newsfeed. Sign up for our daily email newsletter and get top stories and breaking news delivered to your inbox. Tuesday, December 27, 2011, by Sally Kuchar

View the original article here

Saturday, March 12, 2011

Breaking: It's Official: Hearst Buys Elle Decor

× Like us and you'll find top breaking news in your Facebook newsfeed. Sign up for our daily email newsletter and get top stories and breaking news delivered to your inbox. Monday, January 31, 2011, by Sarah

_ElleDecor-MarchCover.jpg-_thumb.jpgAfter four weeks of exclusive negotiations, Hearst has purchased 102 titles of Lagardère's portfolio, including those published by Hachette, for $651M€ (approximately $887M). The news came in an internal Hearst memo late last night, and the deal includes 10 editions of Elle Decor, 15 editions of Elle, Car and Driver, Road and Track, Women's Day, and Cycle World, as well as the U.K. publication Red. This means, of course, that Hearst will now publish House Beautiful, Veranda, Country Living, Town & Country and Elle Decor, effectively cornering the shelter market. The deal is expected to close by the end of Q3—so don't expect any tangible changes to become apparent right away. Do expect the rumormongering to gain speed as details take shape.

· New Intel About the Hachette Sale and the Fate of Elle Decor [Curbed National]
· Some Questions About What Happens if Hearst Buys Elle Decor [Curbed National]
· The Elle Decor Theory of Stephen Drucker's Departure [Curbed National]


View the original article here

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

Breaking: Stephen Drucker Out at Town & Country; Jay Fielden Named Editor

× Like us and you'll find top breaking news in your Facebook newsfeed. Sign up for our daily email newsletter and get top stories and breaking news delivered to your inbox. Wednesday, January 19, 2011, by Sarah

TC.jpg

As if 2010 wasn't turbulent enough in the shelter-media arena, today brings major news on the masthead mashups front: Stephen Drucker has just been replaced by Jay Fielden as editor in chief of Town & Country. Drucker was previously editor in chief of House Beautiful; in April Hearst announced it would be moving him to T&C in a multi-brand editorial shuffle that placed Newell Turner at the helm of HB and Dara Caponigro at the helm of Veranda. Fielden was previously editor in chief of the now-defunct Men's Vogue and has worked on-staff at Vogue and The New Yorker. Officially, Drucker "has decided to leave the company."

JAY FIELDEN NAMED EDITOR-IN-CHIEF OF TOWN&COUNTRY

NEW YORK, January 19, 2011 Jay Fielden, former editor-in-chief of Men's
Vogue, has been named editor-in-chief of Town&Country, today announced David
Carey, president, Hearst Magazines. Fielden joins Town&Country on March 1
and will report to Carey. He replaces Stephen Drucker, who has decided to
leave the company. Drucker will remain at the magazine through the end of
February.

Most recently, Fielden has been working with Vogue Creative Director Grace
Coddington on her memoir. He also helped Coddington with the writing and
editing of her 2002 coffee-table book, Grace: Thirty Years of Fashion at
Vogue.

Fielden was editor-in-chief of Men's Vogue from August 2005 to March 2009.
After the magazine ceased publication, he served as a contributing editor at
Vogue, where he had been arts editor since 2000. From 1992 to 2000, he held
various editorial positions at The New Yorker.

"I had the great pleasure of working with Jay at The New Yorker and, even
then, I recognized that he was a rising star in the editorial world," Carey
said. "I'm thrilled to have him join Hearst. He has great instincts for the
life and interests of the Town&Country reader and for the kind of content
they'll find relevant and engaging."

Carey added, "Stephen did a terrific job for us at House Beautiful during
his nearly five years as editor, and brought many fresh ideas to
Town&Country. We wish him much success in his future endeavors."

A leader in the luxury category for 165 years, Town&Country will show a 20
percent newsstand sales increase for the second half of 2010 (Source: Audit
Bureau of Circulations) and ended 2010 up 7.1 percent in advertising pages,
the second biggest increase in the affluent category. In addition, the
magazine has recently attracted new luxury advertisers including Hermès,
Tahari, Lord & Taylor, and Armani.

"I want Town&Country to be a lively, engrossing read about the American
Establishment—but not beholden to it," Fielden said.
"I hope to modernize
the magazine's traditions of great photography, excellent service and
stylish writing, and to make it indispensable to readers everywhere drawn to
the well-lived, well-informed life."

Town&Country (www.townandcountrymag.com) is America's longest continuously
published general-interest magazine. It was established in 1846 (before the
Civil War). Today, it is the premier luxury lifestyle magazine in America,
edited for a sophisticated, affluent and accomplished audience. Town&Country
Weddings, established in 2003, is published twice a year.

· All Masthead Mashups coverage [Curbed National]


View the original article here